Weighted fair queuing

From formulasearchengine
Jump to navigation Jump to search

In mathematical finance, the SABR model is a stochastic volatility model, which attempts to capture the volatility smile in derivatives markets. The name stands for "stochastic alpha, beta, rho", referring to the parameters of the model. The SABR model is widely used by practitioners in the financial industry, especially in the interest rate derivative markets. It was developed by Patrick Hagan, Deep Kumar, Andrew Lesniewski, and Diana Woodward.

Dynamics

The SABR model describes a single forward F, such as a LIBOR forward rate, a forward swap rate, or a forward stock price. The volatility of the forward F is described by a parameter σ. SABR is a dynamic model in which both F and σ are represented by stochastic state variables whose time evolution is given by the following system of stochastic differential equations:

dFt=σtFtβdWt,
dσt=ασtdZt,

with the prescribed time zero (currently observed) values F0 and σ0. Here, Wt and Zt are two correlated Wiener processes with correlation coefficient 1<ρ<1. The constant parameters β,α satisfy the conditions 0β1,α0.

The above dynamics is a stochastic version of the CEV model with the skewness parameter β: in fact, it reduces to the CEV model if α=0 The parameter α is often referred to as the volvol, and its meaning is that of the lognormal volatility of the volatility parameter σ.

Asymptotic solution

We consider a European option (say, a call) on the forward F struck at K, which expires T years from now. The value of this option is equal to the suitably discounted expected value of the payoff max(FTK,0) under the probability distribution of the process Ft.

Except for the special cases of β=0 and β=1, no closed form expression for this probability distribution is known. The general case can be solved approximately by means of an asymptotic expansion in the parameter ε=Tα2. Under typical market conditions, this parameter is small and the approximate solution is actually quite accurate. Also significantly, this solution has a rather simple functional form, is very easy to implement in computer code, and lends itself well to risk management of large portfolios of options in real time.

It is convenient to express the solution in terms of the implied volatility of the option. Namely, we force the SABR model price of the option into the form of the Black model valuation formula. Then the implied volatility, which is the value of the lognormal volatility parameter in Black's model that forces it to match the SABR price, is approximately given by:

σimpl=αlog(F0/K)D(ζ){1+[2γ2γ12+1/Fmid224(σ0C(Fmid)α)2+ργ14σ0C(Fmid)α+23ρ224]ε},

where, for clarity, we have set C(F)=Fβ. The value Fmid denotes a conveniently chosen midpoint between F0 and K (such as the geometric average F0K or the arithmetic average (F0+K)/2). We have also set

ζ=ασ0KF0dxC(x)=ασ0(1β)(F01βK1β),

and

γ1=C(Fmid)C(Fmid)=βFmid,
γ2=C(Fmid)C(Fmid)=β(1β)Fmid2.

The function D(ζ) entering the formula above is given by

D(ζ)=log(12ρζ+ζ2+ζρ1ρ).

Alternatively, one can express the SABR price in terms of the normal Black's model. Then the implied normal volatility can be asymptotically computed by means of the following expression:

σimpln=αF0KD(ζ){1+[2γ2γ1224(σ0C(Fmid)α)2+ργ14σ0C(Fmid)α+23ρ224]ε}.

It is worth noting that the normal SABR implied volatility is generally somewhat more accurate than the lognormal implied volatility.


See also

References

Template:Derivatives market Template:Volatility Template:Stochastic processes