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In statistics, the Holm–Bonferroni method [1] is a method used to counteract the problem of multiple comparisons. It is intended to control the Familywise error rate and offers a simple test uniformly more powerful than the Bonferroni correction. It is one of the earliest usage of stepwise algorithms in simultaneous inference.

It is named after Sture Holm who invented the method in 1978 and Carlo Emilio Bonferroni.

Introduction

When considering several hypotheses in the same test the problem of multiplicity arises. Intuitively, the more hypotheses we check, the higher the probability to witness a rare result. With 10 different hypotheses and significance level of 0.05, there is more than 40% chance of having one or more type I errors. Holm–Bonferroni method is one of the many ways to address this issue. It modifies the rejection criteria in order to enable us to control the overall probability of witnessing one or more type I errors (also called the familywise error rate) at a predetermined level.

Formulation

The method algorithm is as follows:

The Holm–Bonferroni method ensures that this method will control the FWERα, where FWER is the Familywise error rate

Proof that Bonferroni-Holm controls the FWER

Let H(1)H(m) be a family of hypotheses, and P(1)P(2)P(m) be the sorted p-values. Let I0 be the set of indices corresponding to the (unknown) true null hypotheses, having m0 members and define i0=mm0+1. Also let k be the stopping index for Holm–Bonferroni method, as described above. In the case we don't reject any of the true null hypotheses, k will be smaller than i0. Therefore, the FWER=Pr{ki0}.

Let's define A={P(i)>αm0,iI0}. From Bonferroni inequalities we get that Pr(A)1α. Since the event of {P(i0)>αmo=αmi0+1}A when k<i0 and for all i<k, P(i)αmi+1, we can conclude that FWER=Pr{ki0}α, as required.

Example

Four null hypotheses are tested with α = 0.05. The four unadjusted p-values are 0.01, 0.04, 0.03 and 0.005. The smallest of these is 0.005. Since this is less than 0.05/4, null hypothesis four is rejected (meaning some alternative hypothesis likely explains the data). The next smallest p-value is 0.01, which is smaller than 0.05/3. So, null hypothesis one is also rejected. The next smallest p-value is 0.03. This is not smaller than 0.05/2, so you fail to reject this hypothesis (meaning you have not seen evidence to conclude an alternative hypothesis is preferable to the level of α = 0.05). As soon as that happens, you stop, and therefore, also fail to reject the remaining hypothesis that has a p-value of 0.04. Therefore, hypotheses one and four are rejected while hypotheses two and three are not rejected. Applying the approximate false discovery rate produces the same result without requiring ordering the p-values, then using different criteria for each test.

Extensions

The Holm–Bonferroni method is an example of a closed test procedure.[2] As such, it controls the familywise error rate for all the k hypotheses at level α in the strong sense. Each intersection is tested using the simple Bonferroni test.

Adjusted P-value

The adjusted P-values for Holm–Bonferroni method are: p~(i)=maxji{(Nj+1)p(j)}1, where {x}1min(x,1).

Šidák version

Mining Engineer (Excluding Oil ) Truman from Alma, loves to spend time knotting, largest property developers in singapore developers in singapore and stamp collecting. Recently had a family visit to Urnes Stave Church. It is possible to replace αm,αm1,...,α1 with 1(1α)1/m,1(1α)1/(m1),...,1(1α)1, which will provide a more powerful test, but the increase in power will not be very big.

Weighted version

Let p1,..., pk be the unadjusted p-values and let w1,..., wk be a set of corresponding positive weights that add to 1. Without loss of generality, assume the p-values and the weights are all ordered such that p1/w1p2/w2 ≤ ... ≤ pk/wkPotter or Ceramic Artist Truman Bedell from Rexton, has interests which include ceramics, best property developers in singapore developers in singapore and scrabble. Was especially enthused after visiting Alejandro de Humboldt National Park.. The adjusted p-value for the first hypothesis is q1 = min{1,p1/w1}. Inductively, define the adjusted p-value for hypothesis i by qi = min{1,max{qi−1,(wi + ... + wkpi/wi. A hypothesis is rejected at level α if and only if its adjusted p-value is less than α. In the earlier example using equal weights, the adjusted p-values are 0.03, 0.06, 0.06, and 0.02. This is another way to see that using α = 0.05, only hypotheses one and four are rejected by this procedure.

Alternatives and usage

Mining Engineer (Excluding Oil ) Truman from Alma, loves to spend time knotting, largest property developers in singapore developers in singapore and stamp collecting. Recently had a family visit to Urnes Stave Church. Holm-Bonferroni is more powerful than the regular Bonferroni, and can always be used as a substitute. With that said, it is not the best simultaneous inference test available. There are many other tests that intend to control the familywise error rate, many of them are more powerful than Holm-Bonferroni. Among those tests there is the Hochberg procedure (1988). If we replace the rejection criteria and look for the maximal index k such that P(k)αm+1k, then reject H(1)H(k), we will get the Hochberg method, which is guaranteed to be no less powerful and is in many cases more powerful then Holm-Bonferroni. With that said, Hochberg method require the hypotheses to be independent (and also under some forms of positive dependence), while Holm-Bonferroni can be applied with no conditions.

Bonferroni contribution

Carlo Emilio Bonferroni did not take part in inventing the method described here. Holm originally called the method the "sequentially rejective Bonferroni test", and it became known as Holm-Bonferroni only after some time. Holm's motives for naming his method after Bonferroni are explained in the original paper: "The use of the Boole inequality within multiple inference theory is usually called the Bonferroni technique, and for this reason we will call our test the sequentially rejective Bonferroni test."

See also

References

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