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{{Orphan|date=February 2009}}
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The '''magic number''' is a term in [[economics]] that denotes the price of [[crude oil]] (measured in dollars per [[barrel]]) at which a crude oil exporting economy runs a deficit.
 
Some countries support almost all spending from income derived from oil exports. As the price of oil drops, these countries take in less [[revenue]] from oil. The magic number denotes the point at which the revenue from oil is no longer sufficient to pay for spending. Mathematically, this can be expressed by the [[inequality (mathematics)|inequality]]:
 
:<math>Q \times P > S</math>
 
where Q is the quantity of oil exported, P is the price, and S is spending. The magic number is the value of P at which this inequality no longer holds true - that is, that the economy runs a deficit.
 
PFC Energy publishes the magic number for all the [[OPEC]] nations.
 
"[[Qatar]] is at $21 a barrel, because it brings in much more oil money than it spends. [[Saudi Arabia]]'s break-even point is at $49 a barrel. And [[Venezuela]] is at $58, second only to [[Nigeria]]'s $65."<ref>[http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2007/10/30/venezuela_magic_number Chavez puts Venezuela's future on oil]</ref>
 
== See also ==
* [[Peak oil]]
 
==References==
{{Reflist}}
 
[[Category:Petroleum economics]]
 
{{economics-stub}}

Revision as of 17:05, 11 February 2014

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